BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.
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Elgin Valley
Class: 2A Class Rank: 82 Conference: (6-12) Overall: (7-15) Overall Strength = 71.15
N Date Location C Stren We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent Resid I Predict
1 11/29/2005 Home L 57.26 41 62 2A 48 (15- 7) North Linn -13.89 -7.11
2 12/01/2005 Home W 83.54 50 38 1A 43 (13-10) Alburnett 12.39 -0.39
3 12/06/2005 Home L * 66.00 44 48 1A 56 ( 9-14) Maynard West Central -5.14 1.14
4 12/10/2005 Away L 75.66 52 58 2A 57 (15- 7) East Buchanan 4.52 -10.52
5 12/13/2005 Home L * 60.18 38 43 2A 92 ( 4-18) Clayton Ridge -10.97 5.97
6 12/16/2005 Home L * 70.05 47 57 1A 17 (17- 6) Postville -1.09 -8.91
7 12/19/2005 Away W * 95.52 50 39 2A 40 (19- 6) Turkey Valley 24.38 -13.38
8 12/20/2005 Away L * 64.39 41 55 2A 63 ( 9-13) Sumner SF -6.76 -7.24
9 12/22/2005 Away L * 60.13 41 62 2A 50 (16- 8) Elkader Central -11.02 -9.98
10 01/03/2006 Home W * 87.32 57 47 2A 50 (16- 8) Elkader Central 16.18 -6.18
11 01/06/2006 Away L * 61.81 41 53 1A 56 ( 9-14) Maynard West Central -9.34 -2.66
12 01/07/2006 Away L 63.70 41 51 1A 52 ( 8-14) Edgewood-Colesburg -7.45 -2.55
13 01/09/2006 Home W * 74.45 64 58 1A 60 (10-13) Lansing Kee 3.31 2.69
14 01/13/2006 Away W * 70.98 45 43 2A 92 ( 4-18) Clayton Ridge -0.17 2.17
15 01/17/2006 Away W * 88.68 59 52 2A 49 (14- 8) North Fayette 17.53 -10.53
16 01/24/2006 Home L * 67.62 53 61 2A 60 (14- 8) South Winneshiek -3.53 -4.47
17 01/27/2006 Away L * 59.85 42 66 1A 17 (17- 6) Postville -11.29 -12.71
18 01/31/2006 Home L * 68.72 47 59 2A 40 (19- 6) Turkey Valley -2.42 -9.58
19 02/03/2006 Away L * 67.39 41 52 2A 63 ( 9-13) Sumner SF -3.76 -7.24
20 02/06/2006 Home W * 82.58 85 67 2A 100 ( 4-18) Monona MFL MarMac 11.44 6.56 was 01/20 now 02/06
21 02/13/2006 Home L * 74.87 51 54 2A 49 (14- 8) North Fayette 3.73 -6.73
22 02/20/2006 Neutral L * 64.52 47 60 2A 60 (14- 8) South Winneshiek -6.63 -6.37
Averages 71.15 49.0 53.9
Best game: 95.52 = 11 point win over Jackson Junction Turkey Valley
Worst game: 57.26 = 21 point loss to Troy Mills North Linn
Team stdev: 10.57